"Will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court in 2023?"
Basic
1
Ṁ50Dec 31
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Most likely justices dying or resigning, but court packing would also qualify.
This is question #20 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
[ACX2024] In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
"Will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action in 2023?"
62% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?
50% chance
"Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?"
52% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
Will the GOP control the US House of Representatives in 2023?
62% chance
"Will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges in 2023?"
48% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?"
48% chance
"Will the UK hold a general election in 2023?"
56% chance