[Kalshi] Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
Basic
0
Jan 8
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will GPT-5 be released by December 31, 2024?
52% chance
[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will there be a recession by the end of 2024?
50% chance
"Will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action in 2023?"
62% chance
"Will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court in 2023?"
48% chance
[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2023?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?
50% chance