When will Russia invade the Ukraine?
Basic
2
Ṁ132Mar 26
14%Other
9%
Not this year; diplomacy will prevail.
26%
Before March 1st.
36%
February 2014
15%
Between March 1st and March 15th
Feb 16, 4:50pm: This will not resolve none! Unless Russia and Ukraine disappear under a mysterious dark cloud from which no information can escape. Then it will resolve none.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia invade Ukraine before the end of February?
39% chance
Will Ukraine be an official member of NATO by 2025?
62% chance
Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory in 2022?
63% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?
59% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?
51% chance